Weathering the Storm: Can Transit Survive and Thrive in a Changing Climate?
When most people
think about climate change and resilience, their minds naturally
picture electric vehicles, green buildings, and the otherwise
large-scale implementation of new technologies that will (hopefully)
reduce humans’ impacts on the environment. However, one impact that
always seems to be left out of the discussion is the impacts of
climate change on our urban and regional transit systems.
Mark Barnes,
writing in Geography Compass, has cited a distinct lack of
preparation and attention in the US given to making sure our public
transportation networks not only continue to function long-term in a
changing climate, but are also protected from extreme weather and
storms (Barnes 2015). In the case of the latter, at stake is billions
of dollars’ worth of infrastructure – one needs only to think of
the damage wrought by Hurricane Sandy and the flooded subway stations
of New York and New Jersey. In the case of the former, at stake is
the day-to-day performance of our transit systems and the livelihoods
of the millions of Americans who depend on them daily.
Under the
previous federal administration, generous funding was allocated to
cities and transit systems affected by or at distinct risk extreme
weather and climate change. This allowed receiving jurisdictions to
make implement needed system upgrades or repairs that would help
mitigate or prevent damage from climate change and extreme weather.
Funding – to the tune of $3.9B – went primarily to denser,
mid-Atlantic cities like New York, New Jersey, and Boston and D.C.,
where flooding is already prevalent and expected to worsen in the
coming years (Barron-Lopez 2014) and where Barnes feels the most
“interventionist attention” is needed (Barnes 2015).
Closer to home,
scholarly research into the impact of extreme weather and climate
change on transit has been piecemeal but still a promising step in
the right direction. Weather impacts on transit ridership has been
investigated in Tacoma, Washington, showing significant drops in
ridership during harsh weather, and future flooding along Johnson and
Fanno Creeks here in the Portland region has been shown to be a
threat to our future transportation systems and commute patterns in
the region (Chang et al, 2010).
Studies are one
thing, but if TriMet, PBOT and ODOT are fully prepared for future
climate-related impacts on our public transportation system, there
has yet to be much fanfare about it. Rising summer temperatures are a
known burden at this point, playing havoc with MAX overhead wires and
rail spacing. The 2015 incident of a MAX train flooding certainly
made headlines for the news cycle, and triggered some operational
policy changes within TriMet, but if it has led to deeper efforts to
protect vital infrastructure remains to be seen by this writer.
-Justin Sherrill
Barnes, M. (2015)
Transit Systems and Ridership under Extreme Weather and Climate
Change Stress: An Urban Transportation Agenda for Hazards Geography.
Geography Compass, 9: pp. 604–616.
Barron-Lopez,
Laura. "Transit gets $3.6b to fight climate change." Hill,
23 Sept. 2014, p. 10. General OneFile,
http://link.galegroup.com/apps/doc/A408785301/ITOF?u=s1185784&sid=ITOF&xid=b85ba42c.
Accessed 23 Oct. 2018.
Chang, Heejun, et
al. “Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Flood-Induced Travel
Disruptions: A Case Study of Portland, Oregon, USA.” Annals of
the Association of American Geographers, vol. 100, no. 4, 2010,
pp. 938–952.
Stover, Victor
W., and Edward D. Mccormack. “The Impact of Weather on Bus
Ridership in Pierce County, Washington.” Journal Of Public
Transportation, vol. 15, no. 1, 2012, pp. 95–110.
Another now often forgotten impact of Sandy: it flooded a warehouse where a big chunk of the Citi Bike (bike share) equipment was being stored, delaying the launch and impacting the service area for some years after. It's not only traditional transit that's affected! see: https://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/15/nyregion/bike-share-equipment-apparently-damaged-by-flooding.html?module=inline
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